From Rassmussen.com
Illinois’ hotly contested race for the U.S. Senate between Republican Congressman Mark Kirk and State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias is once again a virtual toss-up.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Kirk barely ahead of Giannoulias 42% to 39%. Seven percent (7%) would prefer another candidate, and 12% more are undecided at this point.
In late April, Kirk earned a modest pick-up in support in the first survey conducted after the government's seizure of the failed Broadway Bank, the institution owned by Giannoulias' family. Since then, Kirk has been forced to apologize for misstatements about his military record.
Kirk’s support is similar to results found in early April and in March. Kirk picked up 46% to Giannoulias' 40% in the first survey after the two won their party primaries in February.
Despite news of the bank seizure, support for Giannoulias has changed little since March. The Democrat held a modest 44% to 41% edge at that time.
While Kirk earns majority support from men in Illinois, Giannoulias holds the edge among women.
Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, Kirk holds a 50% to 24% lead.
Additional data from the survey will be released over the coming week at RasmussenReports.com/Illinois.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on June 7, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Sixty-two percent (62%) of Illinois voters say they’ve been following news stories about Kirk and his military service, and 63% say this news is important in terms of how they vote this November. Thirty-two percent (32%) say Kirk’s misstatements about his military record are not important in how they vote.
These numbers include 27% who say the misstatements are Very Important to how they vote and 11% who say they are Not At All Important.
Fifty-four percent (54%) in Illinois favor repeal of the health care plan, slightly lower than the view nationally, while 42% oppose repeal. Those numbers include 42% who Strongly Favor repeal and 36% who Strongly Oppose it.
Kirk picks up 69% support from those who Strongly Favor repeal of the law, while Giannoulias picks up 74% from those who are Strongly Opposed.
Thirteen percent (13%) of Illinois voters share a Very Favorable opinion of Kirk, while 15% view him Very Unfavorably.
Nine percent (9%) view Giannoulias Very Favorably and 23% view him Very Unfavorably.
At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
Most Illinois voters (56%) still approve of how President Obama has been doing his job, down slightly from the previous survey. Forty-four percent (44%) disapprove. This is higher approval than Obama earns nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
No comments:
Post a Comment