Thursday, May 9, 2013
So after years of
needing to pass pension reforms, the Illinois Legislature now has two competing
versions of reforms. One -- SB-1, passed the House of Representatives and
is sponsored by Speaker Michael Madigan. It would make extensive changes
and is generally agreed that it would provide greater savings to the state IF
it becomes law and is ruled constitutional.
Today, the
Illinois Senate voted to approve SB-2404, the Reform measure sponsored by
Senate President John Cullerton, that would trade continued healthcare benefits
for retirees, in exchange of a lessening of the 3% annual Cost of Living
Adjustment [ COLA]. It's this COLA that's been a financial killer for the
state as even in low inflation periods -- as we are now in -- the state is
forced to pay ever increasingly large benefits, that compound year over
year.
But for now --
neither of the reform measures have passed both houses of the legislature.
Gov Quinn seems to be prepared to sign off on either measure. But
the big question is: Will the Supreme Court rule that these changes are
constitutional ? Everyone agrees that whatever reforms are passed,
someone will sue over the changes, and base their lawsuit on the Constitutional
protection of pensions that was included in the 1970 Constitution, which
remains the governing law today.
In the Senate
Executive Committee hearing on Weds, Sen President Cullerton argued again that
his approach is far more likely to pass a suit that would go to the Illinois
Supreme Court, as -- he argues -- his bill brings about reforms that are agreed
to by the workers, given that they are guaranteed a choice of option A or B.
That the workers pick which way they wish to go -- is therefore [according
to Cullerton] an agreed to labor agreement and therefore not a mandated
DIMINISHMENT of pensions benefits.
The House version,
sponsored by Speaker Madigan, would force change on pension recipients, and
lower the cost to the state. As to the Constitution's saying it is
unlawful to diminish state pensions, Madigan is relying on the principal
referred to as the Police Powers argument. In essence, that would be that
it is the obligation of the state to continue to be an on-going enterprise that
can deliver essential services to citizens. That the fact that the year
over year growth of the pension costs is threatening the delivery of the
state's essential services -- means [ according to the backers of SB-1] that
the state has not just a right, but an obligation to ensure that it can afford
to keep functioning. And therefore the Supreme Court would rule SB-1's cuts of pensions, IS constitutional -- or so the thinking goes.
After all -- this
is the State of Illinois, not a mom and pop business that is threatened with bankruptcy. [ as some have pointed out -- it's also in the constitution that the state is supposed to have a balanced budget, but hasn't followed that constitutional provision for years ! So why start worrying now about what is or isn't constitutional ! ]
So the legislature
now has 2 1/2 weeks to pick its poison, and cut the future cost of pensions by
each house passing either SB-1 [ the Madigan plan that cuts costs more, but may
be harder to pass constitutional review] or SB-2404, the Cullerton bill that cuts
costs less, may force the state to continue to provide free healthcare [ that
could be MORE expensive in the future than the pension benefits], but is seen
as being more likely to be approved by the Supreme Court.
Or there's option
three: Having had each house pass a version, both could not fail to pass
the other's bill, and the pensions go on for now has they have... underfunded,
with growing liabilities.
That means the state's pension costs will
continue to rise every year, and the gap between what the state has to pay on
the pensions, and what it can afford to pay -- will mean other areas of
government from education, to transportation and law enforcement --- will see
their department's spending cut, as lawmakers and future governors struggle to
fill the insatiable black hole of the publicly funded pensions.
Still to come before the end of May -- is Speaker Madigan's attempt to shift the future cost of paying the pensions of [non-chicago] teachers to local school districts. This represents about 56% of the pension obligations to the state. Pushing those off to the local districts WOULD greatly reduce the future unfunded liabilities to the state. But it could then shift those unfunded liabilities to local property taxpayer, depending on how the deal is structured.
As some have said it's like sweeping the dirt under your neighbor's rug !
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